Bush's Oil War will not Rescue the US Economy

By Dean

I n the US, it has been a popular notion that wars help the US economy, and that this explains why they are fought every twenty years or so. It seems that large sections of the public believe in this cynical notion, and therefore now keep quiet when, once again, a new war in on the horizon. This time around, an Oil war against our old nemesis, Saddam Hussein.

If we are to keep world peace and have any hope left for the progress for humanity, we must dispel this notion among the masses. While it can be shown that the economy did indeed improve as a result of war, after World War II in particular, this is not going to be the case for the Oil War planned by the Bush usurper regime.

Before the advent of the computer, wars were fought with hardware. The military build huge amounts of tanks, airplanes, ships, cannons, etc, all out of steel. The wars of the 20th century were metal wars, which required immense investments in hardware, which was then destroyed, requiring even more hardware to be built.

All hardware had to be replicated from the design on to the actual metal by fabrication. It was the manufacturing sector which expanded dramatically during WW II, due to the fact that all weapons had to be built using labor intensive methods. It was the massive wartime employment that resulted in a drastic improvement in the economy after the war, not the war itself.

In the 21st century however, wars are being fought by "smart" weapons, who can be targeted with incredible precision. All other weapons are obsolete: tanks, ships, airplanes, etc. can be now be located and taken out by "smart" missiles and bombs. While it is true that these weapons are much more expensive that their counterparts of the last century, they do not need to be created in such numbers. One "smart" bomb will do the destruction of thousands of "dumb" ones.

Manufacturing smart bombs is therefore limited to a few pieces of hardware, and to guidance and control software, which can be replicated digitally with little human intervention. This Oil War will be a software war, where the latest in "smart" devices will be tried on the helpless Iraqis, Saudis, Iranians, etc, in a macabre military "market test" of death and destruction.

There will be no massive employment coming out of the Oil War, only a few R&D weapons laboratories may see additional technical employment. The $600 billion being baited around will go to those companies in the US military industrial complex which are well connected to the Bush regime, not to the rank and file military. They will prosper, while the rest of the People pay for this adventure, in money, and the blood of their sons and daughters.

While it may be true that hardware wars improved the US economy in the past, it is unlikely that a software war will have the same economic effect. Then, if improving the economy is not the goal, and surely the oft stated spin of disarming Saddam is a fabrication, what then would be the purpose of an Oil war?

The real reason is that the "democratic" puppet Arab regimes that emerge from the Oil War must sign concessions to the US oil companies that back the Bush usurper regime.  None of the "undemocratic" regimes in the region are "friendly" enough at the present time, they have the audacity of owning their own oil revenues.

The US oil tycoons believe that oil prices will skyrocket, once the oil reserves draw down.  They are mistaken, since any rise in the price of oil beyond the levels now capped by the emerging Hydrogen Economy would quickly give rise to the replacement of oil for hydrogen.    The Bush II administration's own energy secretary voiced this concern to OPEC at their meeting in September, 2002:

Sept. 21, 2002  |  OSAKA, Japan -- U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham criticized OPEC's decision not to increase oil output, warning Saturday that high prices and volatile markets will harm everybody in the long run.

If prices get too high and stay there, the situation "will lead, sooner rather than later, to the result net-producing nations want least: early discovery of a permanent, low-price alternative," Abraham said.   -- salon.com -- 9/22/2002.

Clearly, the Bush administration message to OPEC is a quid pro quo, you increase production to lower prices and we will suppress any attempt at moving forward with the Hydrogen Economy.   They have sold our nation's future out to the OPEC, which they now intend to control by proxy from the new "friendly" puppet regimes that arise out of this imperialist adventure.  Once that happens, we could expect much higher oil prices.

In fact, the best alternative for the US is to leave matters as they are, and let the Hydrogen Economy develop rapidly, in order to cap any future price increases beyond a sustainable level.  To launch an oil war in order to secure our energy supplies is a stupid strategy, which will lead to inevitable horror and destruction, and which would result in the emergence of Hydrogen as our alternative, renewable fuel.   Why not bypass all of the needless suffering, and go straight to the end game?  Our own energy security would be best guaranteed by entering the Hydrogen Economy as soon as possible.

We must demand that a vote in taken in the House and Senate before any hostilities start, and only after the November 2002 elections, so that we have a chance to vote for those politicians who will cast this crucial vote for us.

Let the USA go up or down as a People with this issue, and not leave it to the politicians. We already know what they go for.

Wake up America!

September 18, 2002

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